Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 5.05am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Cerezo

Usami (28', 28')
Dawhan (27'), Dawhan (27')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Uejo (90+6'), Uejo (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Friday, May 3 at 8am in J1 League

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Consadole
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
36.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)27.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)36.65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)55.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)76.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)29.17% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)65.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)64.75% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.18%
    Cerezo Osaka 36.65%
    Draw 27.17%
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.38%
2-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0060000000000011 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.65%

Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 6am
Gameweek 31
Cerezo
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Ceara (8')

Lavi (41'), Dawhan (90+4')
May 3, 2023 6am
Gameweek 11
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Cerezo
Dawhan (56')
Ceara (28'), Kato (90')
Jul 16, 2022 11am
Gameweek 22
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Cerezo
Kyung-won (17')
Kyung-won (73')
Yamada (52'), Patric (90')
Matsuda (11')
May 21, 2022 6am
Gameweek 14
Cerezo
3-1
Gamba Osaka
Aug 28, 2021 11am
Gameweek 27
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Cerezo
Matsuda (51')