Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.