Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.