J1 League | Gameweek 16

May 26, 2024 at 7am UK

Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 1
Hiroshima

Nishio (66', 66')
Tanaka (88'), Tanaka (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Araki (53', 53')
Araki (78'), Araki (78'), Ohashi (90+6'), Ohashi (90+6')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Cerezo
Saturday, May 18 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
25.62% ( -0.58)	24.89% ( 0.07)	49.48% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-0.72)

49.79% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

-0.65)

71.79% (

0.64)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.04% (

-0.86)

33.95% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0.94)

70.63% (

0.94)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0.08)

20.14% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58% (

-0.12)

52.41% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 25.62%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.48%

Draw 24.89%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.27% Total : 25.62%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 49.48%