Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.