J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
0 - 5
Hiroshima


Matsuda (11'), Matsuda (11'), Sato (41'), Sato (41'), Hara (66'), Hara (66')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Kawamura (9', 9'), Arai (12', 12', 25', 25', 69', 69'), Matsumoto (55', 55')
Ohashi (27'), Ohashi (27')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last Game: Urawa 3-0 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, May 15 at 11.30am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 16.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
16.8% (-0.266 -0.27)22.64% (-0.235 -0.24)60.55% (0.5 0.5)
Both teams to score 47.15% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11% (0.509 0.51)50.89% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23% (0.446 0.45)72.77% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.39% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)43.6% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.2% (-0.026 -0.03)79.8% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.6% (0.34999999999999 0.35)16.4% (-0.352 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.96% (0.631 0.63)46.04% (-0.632 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 16.8%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.54%
    Draw 22.64%
Kyoto SangaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 5.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 2.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 16.8%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 12.92% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 11.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.04% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 5.85% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 3.18% (0.084 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.64% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.15% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 60.54%

Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 11am
Gameweek 28
Kyoto Sanga
1-0
Hiroshima
Toyokawa (52')
Hara (90+1'), Patric (90+5')
Jun 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Hiroshima
3-1
Kyoto Sanga
Chajima (59', 71'), Kawamura (90+3')
Sasaki (64')
Toyokawa (69')
Jul 17, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 22
Kyoto Sanga
1-1
Hiroshima
Omae (77')
Appiah Tawiah (49'), Ismaila (90+4')
Morishima (54')
Nogami (16'), Araki (90+5')
May 21, 2022 5am
Gameweek 14
Hiroshima
3-1
Kyoto Sanga