May 6, 2024 7.00am

2

3

HT : 2 4

FT EDION Stadium

Sota Koshimichi 23'
Sota Koshimichi 23'
Shuto Nakano 48'
Shuto Nakano 48'

Patric 2'
Patric 2'
Sho Inagaki 18'
Sho Inagaki 18'
Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
Tsukasa Morishima 45'+4'
Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)
Sho Sasaki 84' (OG)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions

D
D
D
D
W
W

J1 League

D
D
D
D
W
W

Last game

May 3, 2024 6.00am

Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Hiroshima

Goals scored

72

Top scorer

Yuki Ohashi

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

L
L
W
W
D
W

J1 League

L
L
W
W
D
W

Last game

May 3, 2024 11.00am

Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Vissel Kobe

Goals scored

44

Top scorer

Kensuke Nagai

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.13% ▲ (+0.03)

Draw 25.12% ▼ (-0.01)

Nagoya Grampus 20.74% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

46.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 55.17% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 3.5 23.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 3.5 76.41% ▲ (+0.02)

Over 4.5 10.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 89.52% ▲ (+0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5 79.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 0.5 20.37% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 47.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 52.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 58.46% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 0.5 41.54% ▲ (+0.04)

Over 1.5 21.97% ▼ (-0.04)

Under 1.5 78.03% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.13%

Draw 25.12%

Nagoya Grampus 20.74%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1-0 @ 13.46% ▲ (+0.02)

2-0 @ 10.71% ▲ (+0.02)

2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.01)

3-1 @ 4.99%

4-0 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.01)

3-2 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)

4-1 @ 1.99%

Other @ 3.44%

Total : 54.13%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.01)

0-0 @ 8.46% ▲ (+0.01)

2-2 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 0.7%

Total : 25.12%

Nagoya Grampus

0-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.01)

1-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)

1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.01)

2-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)

Other @ 2.11%

Total : 20.74%

Head to Head

Sep 30, 2023 11.00am

3

1

HT : 0 0

FT EDION Stadium

Michael Skibbe 45'
Shinnosuke Nakatani 72'
Douglas Vieira 81'
Ezequiel 85'
Ezequiel 86'

Ryoya Morishita 38'
Takuya Uchida 48'
Kasper Junker 57'
Akinari Kawazura 77'
Mitchell Langerak 77'

May 20, 2023 7.00am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Kasper Junker 43'
Kasper Junker 48'

Kensuke Nagai 37' (OG)

Sep 17, 2022 11.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

May 28, 2022 6.00am

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Gakuto Notsuda 58'
Tomoya Fujii 89'

Oct 3, 2021 7.00am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Yuya Asano 35'
Rhayner 83'

Apr 14, 2021 11.30am

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Yuichi Maruyama 22'
Yoichiro Kakitani 36'
Takuji Yonemoto 75'

Rhayner 90'+1'
Hayao Kawabe 90'+2'

Form Data

Albirex Niigata 1 - 1 Hiroshima

Hiroshima 2 - 2 Kawasaki

Consadole 1 - 1 Hiroshima

Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Hiroshima

Hiroshima 2 - 0 Shonan Bellmare

Machida Zelvia 1 - 2 Hiroshima

Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Vissel Kobe

Urawa 2 - 1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Cerezo

Jubilo Iwata 0 - 1 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus 0 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka

Consadole 1 - 2 Nagoya Grampus