J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2024 at 7am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 3
Nagoya Grampus

Koshimichi (23', 23'), Nakano (48', 48')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Patric (2', 2'), Inagaki (18', 18'), Sasaki (84' og., 84' og.)
Morishima (45+4'), Morishima (45+4')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Friday, May 3 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 54.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Nagoya Grampus win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
54.13% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)20.74% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.17% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)76.41% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)20.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.46% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.54% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (-0.032 -0.03)78.03% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54.13%
    Nagoya Grampus 20.74%
    Draw 25.12%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.99%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 20.74%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 11am
Gameweek 29
Hiroshima
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Nakatani (72' og.), Vieira (81' pen.), Ezequiel (85')
Skibbe (45'), Ezequiel (86')
Junker (57')
Morishita (38'), Uchida (48'), Kawazura (77'), Langerak (77')
May 20, 2023 7am
Gameweek 14
Nagoya Grampus
2-1
Hiroshima
Junker (43', 48')
Yonemoto (29'), Nakatani (35'), Morishita (77')
Nagai (37' og.)
Araki (50')
Sep 17, 2022 11am
Gameweek 30
Nagoya Grampus
0-0
Hiroshima
May 28, 2022 6am
Gameweek 16
Hiroshima
1-0
Nagoya Grampus
Notsuda (58')
Fujii (89')
Oct 3, 2021 7am
Gameweek 31
Hiroshima
1-0
Nagoya Grampus