Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.