J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 6am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
2 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka

Watanabe (65', 65'), Thiago (73' pen., 73' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Zahedi (28', 28')
Miya (42'), Miya (42'), Inoue (72'), Inoue (72')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Avispa Fukuoka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa
Sunday, March 17 at 6am in J1 League

Avispa Fukuoka

All competitions
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-3 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 16 at 4am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 27.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAvispa Fukuoka
46.68% (-0.529 -0.53)25.95% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)27.37% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.64 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.18% (0.619 0.62)52.82% (-0.618 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.526 0.53)74.44% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)
Urawa Red Diamonds Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.021999999999991 0.02)22.61% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)56.22% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Avispa Fukuoka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.85% (0.809 0.81)34.15% (-0.808 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.16% (0.861 0.86)70.84% (-0.86 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Urawa Red Diamonds 46.68%
    Avispa Fukuoka 27.37%
    Draw 25.94%
Urawa Red DiamondsDrawAvispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 11.48% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.095999999999999 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.37%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5am
Gameweek 33
Urawa
2-3
Avispa Fukuoka
Scholz (18' pen.), Akimoto (75')
Nakajima (28'), Shibato (39'), Ogiwara (79'), Schalk (83')
Konno (32', 62'), Oda (54')
Oda (64'), Miya (71')
May 20, 2023 5am
Gameweek 14
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Urawa
Shigemi (72')
Yasui (42')
Nov 5, 2022 5am
Gameweek 34
Urawa
1-1
Avispa Fukuoka
May 28, 2022 9am
Gameweek 16
Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
Urawa
Nara (51'), Grolli (59'), Mae (90+1')
Jun 27, 2021 11am
Gameweek 20
Urawa
2-0
Avispa Fukuoka
Koizumi (11'), Akimoto (76')
Shibato (62')

Sugimoto (90+1')