J1 League | Gameweek 10

Apr 28, 2024 at 7am UK

Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yasui (24', 24'), Thiago (70' pen., 70' pen.)
Thiago (16'), Thiago (16'), Ito (31'), Ito (31')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Izumi (90+3', 90+2')
Yonemoto (41'), Yonemoto (41')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Urawa Red Diamonds and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Urawa Red Diamonds

All competitions

Last Game: Urawa 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 20 at 8am in J1 League

Goals
for

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 21 at 7am in J1 League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.

Result
Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
37.83% ( -0.11)	27.57% ( -0.05)	34.6% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

0.19)

56.69% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

0.16)

77.65% (

-0.16)

Urawa Red Diamonds Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.03)

28.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.04)

64.87% (

-0.04)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

0.2)

30.97% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.72% (

0.23)

67.28% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Urawa Red Diamonds 37.82%

Nagoya Grampus 34.6%

Draw 27.57%

Urawa Red Diamonds	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.82%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.57%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.6%