Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.