Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.