Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 13.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
65.78% ( -0.01)	21.09% ( 0.01)	13.13% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 43.27% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.56% (

-0.01)

51.44% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.75% (

-0.01)

73.25% (

0.01)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

-0.01)

14.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.8% (

-0.01)

43.19% (

0.02)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.82% (

49.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.92% (

84.08%

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 65.78%

Tokyo Verdy 13.13%

Draw 21.09%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Tokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.28% 2-1 @ 9.43% 3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% 5-0 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 65.78%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.35% Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.13%