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J1 League | Gameweek 15
May 19, 2024 at 6am UK
Machida Gion Stadium (Tokyo)

Machida Zelvia
5 - 0
Tokyo Verdy

Miyahara (11' og.), Fujio (29', 60' pen.), Shibato (80'), Lima (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Chida (49'), Hayashi (54')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Machida Zelvia would win this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawTokyo Verdy
40.82% (-0.207 -0.21) 28.14% (0.123 0.12) 31.04% (0.084 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.413 -0.41)59.44% (0.41099999999999 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.318 -0.32)79.81% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (-0.312 -0.31)28.58% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (-0.394 -0.39)64.38% (0.392 0.39)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)34.86% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.4% (-0.167 -0.17)71.6% (0.166 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 40.81%
    Tokyo Verdy 31.04%
    Draw 28.14%
Machida ZelviaDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.81%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.153 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.14%
0-1 @ 10.5% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 31.04%

rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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