J1 League | Gameweek 17
Jun 2, 2024 at 5.05am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
5 - 3
Consadole

Kimura (10' pen., 10' pen., 59', 59'), Someno (32', 32', 78', 78'), Nakamura (43' og.), Miki (43' og.)
FT(HT: 6-2)
Arano (20', 20'), Kondo (46', 46'), Hara (90+4', 90+4')
Sugeno (8'), Sugeno (8'), Okamura (27'), Okamura (27'), Komai (75'), Komai (75')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Consadole Sapporo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tokyo Verdy

All competitions
J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, May 29 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Consadole Sapporo

All competitions
Last Game: Consadole 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Saturday, May 25 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawConsadole Sapporo
33.98% (-0.463 -0.46)25.17% (0.114 0.11)40.86% (0.352 0.35)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.505 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.607 -0.61)46.81% (0.611 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.571 -0.57)69.07% (0.574 0.57)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.56500000000001 -0.57)26.53% (0.569 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.76000000000001 -0.76)61.74% (0.762 0.76)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.21% (-0.089000000000013 -0.09)22.79% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.51% (-0.136 -0.14)56.49% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 33.98%
    Consadole Sapporo 40.86%
    Draw 25.17%
Tokyo VerdyDrawConsadole Sapporo
1-0 @ 8.02% (0.076 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.154 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.132 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.86%