Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.