Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Consadole Sapporo would win this match.