J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 11, 2024 at 6am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
0 - 3
Sagan Tosu

FT(HT: 1-2)
Kanuma (45+1' og., 45+1' og.), Ryan (58', 58'), Naganuma (77', 77')
Higashi (27'), Higashi (27')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 3-2 Jubilo Iwata
Monday, May 6 at 5am in J1 League

Sagan Tosu

All competitions
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Monday, May 6 at 8am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.85%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo IwataDrawSagan Tosu
50.85% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)23.58% (0.016000000000002 0.02)25.57% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)44.16% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.073 -0.07)66.54% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Jubilo Iwata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)17.43% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (-0.058 -0.06)47.88% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)30.98% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)67.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Jubilo Iwata 50.86%
    Sagan Tosu 25.57%
    Draw 23.57%
Jubilo IwataDrawSagan Tosu
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8%
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 50.86%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-1 @ 6.33% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.57%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 11am
Gameweek 24
Sagan Tosu
2-0
Jubilo Iwata
Miyashiro (43'), Kakita (85')
Naganuma (4')
Jun 18, 2022 10am
Gameweek 17
Jubilo Iwata
3-1
Sagan Tosu
Gonzalez (8', 13'), Kanuma (27')
Gonzalez (47')
Miyashiro (53')
Tashiro (69')