J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jun 29, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 1
Hiroshima

Marcinho (23')
Wakizaka (35'), Sasaki (67'), Takai (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitsuta (88')
Sasaki (61'), Junior (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Sanfrecce Hiroshima, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

All competitions
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Wednesday, June 26 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
39.34% (-0.391 -0.39)25.02% (0.454 0.45)35.64% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.57% (-1.633 -1.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-2.111 -2.11)45.85% (2.114 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83% (-2.033 -2.03)68.17% (2.037 2.04)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (-1.124 -1.12)23.13% (1.127 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (-1.671 -1.67)56.99% (1.674 1.67)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (-1.011 -1.01)25.11% (1.015 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (-1.422 -1.42)59.81% (1.424 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 39.34%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 35.64%
    Draw 25.02%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.476 0.48)
2-0 @ 6.22% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.506 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.02%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.48 0.48)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Hiroshima

Kawasaki Frontale
44.4%
Draw
44.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 6am
Gameweek 10
Hiroshima
2-2
Kawasaki
Ohashi (38'), Kato (75')
Shiotani (64'), Arai (90+2')
Kobayashi (65'), Yamada (74')
Erison (41'), Ienaga (51'), Seko (87')
Aug 19, 2023 11am
Gameweek 24
Hiroshima
3-2
Kawasaki
Soteriou (15'), Junior (60'), Mitsuta (90+7')
Notsuda (40'), Nakano (77'), Koshimichi (90+1')
Wakizaka (24'), Yamane (71')
Takai (54'), Seko (68')
Jun 11, 2023 11am
Gameweek 17
Kawasaki
1-0
Hiroshima
Wakizaka (56')
Ominami (17')

Vieira (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 29
Kawasaki
4-0
Hiroshima
Ienaga (34', 78'), Wakizaka (59'), Chinen (68' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 5am
Gameweek 5
Hiroshima
0-2
Kawasaki
Nogami (73' og.), Yamane (88')