J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 10.00am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Soya Fujiwara 61' goal
  • Yuto Horigome 70' yellowcard
  • Michael Fitzgerald 88' yellowcard
  • Koji Suzuki 90'+7' goal
  • goal Marcinho 17'
  • yellowcard Tatsuki Seko 88'
  • goal Shin Yamada 90'+11'

Albirex Niigata vs Kawasaki Frontale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Albirex Niigata

All competitions
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 10.00am
Kashima Antlers 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Kaito Taniguchi

Kawasaki Frontale

All competitions
Last game
Jun 16, 2024 6.00am
Vissel Kobe 1 - 0 Kawasaki
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Shin Yamada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Albirex Niigata 38.93% (-0.11)
Draw 24.61% (-0.06)
Kawasaki Frontale 36.46% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14% (+0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.14% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 43.86% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 33.75% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 66.25% (-0.26)
Over 4.5 17.34% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 82.66% (-0.19)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5 77.55% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 22.45% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 44.01% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.99% (-0.10)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5 76.26% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 23.74% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 42.13% (+0.31)
Under 1.5 57.88% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Albirex Niigata 38.93%
Draw 24.6%
Kawasaki Frontale 36.46%
Albirex Niigata
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.15% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.6%
Kawasaki Frontale
1-2 @ 8.23% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.67% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.95% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.64% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.46%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 29
Sep 29, 2023 11.00am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
  • Joao Schmidt 23' goal
  • Shin Yamada 76' goal
  • Kento Tachibanada 87' yellowcard
  • Kyohei Noborizato 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Koji Suzuki 30'
  • goal Naoto Arai 59'
  • goal Shusuke Ota 80'
J1 League Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 5.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Denka Big Swan Stadium
  • Ryotaro Ito 22' goal