Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
38.93% ( -0.11)	24.61% ( -0.05)	36.46% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.14% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.14% (

0.27)

43.86% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75% (

0.26)

66.25% (

-0.26)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.55% (

0.07)

22.45% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.01% (

0.1)

55.99% (

-0.09)

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

0.21)

23.74% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.13% (

0.3)

57.88% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 38.93%

Kawasaki Frontale 36.46%

Draw 24.6%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kawasaki Frontale
2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.93%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.46%