Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
37.3% ( -0.05)	23.88% ( -0)	38.82% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.72% (

0.02)

40.28% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.34% (

0.02)

62.65% (

-0.02)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31% (

-0.02)

21.68% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17% (

-0.03)

54.82% (

0.03)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

0.03)

20.94% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

0.05)

53.67% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 37.3%

Yokohama F Marinos 38.82%

Draw 23.88%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 38.82%