AFC Champions League
May 11, 2024 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Nissan Stadium
  • Asahi Uenaka 72' goal
  • Asahi Uenaka 75' yellowcard
  • Kota Watanabe 84' goal
  • Katsuya Nagato 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Mohammed Al Baloushi 12'
  • yellowcard Park Yong-woo 90'+5'

Yokohama F Marinos vs Al-Ain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Yokohama F Marinos

All competitions

Al-Ain

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result

Yokohama F Marinos 50.58% (+0.21)
Draw 20.53% (-0.05)
Al-Ain 28.88% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.3% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.28% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 26.71% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 52.87% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 47.13% (-0.19)
Over 4.5 33.43% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 66.57% (-0.18)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5 88.73% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 11.27% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 64.13% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 35.87% (-0.24)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5 80.36% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.64% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.39% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.61% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 50.58%
Draw 20.53%
Al-Ain 28.88%
Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 5.08% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.83% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.84% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.41% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.1% (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.51% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 50.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.53%
Al-Ain
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.6% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.93% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 28.88%