Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.

Result
Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Al-Ain
50.58% ( 0.21)	20.53% ( -0.05)	28.88% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 71.3% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.28% (

0.15)

26.71% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.87% (

0.19)

47.13% (

-0.19)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.73% (

0.11)

11.27% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.13% (

0.24)

35.87% (

-0.24)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

-0.01)

19.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.39% (

-0.01)

51.61% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Yokohama F Marinos 50.58%

Al-Ain 28.88%

Draw 20.53%

Yokohama F Marinos	Draw	Al-Ain
2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.88%