Al-Nassr
AFC Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 11, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 3
Al-Ain

Ghareeb (45+5'), Essa (51' og.), Telles (72'), Ronaldo (118' pen.)
Castro (33'), Brozovic (45+8'), Mane (71'), Otavio (84'), Al Amri (100')
FT
(aet)
Rahimi (28', 45'), Al Shamsi (103')
Erik (32'), Al Baloushi (38'), Rahimi (85'), Juma (116'), Romero (118')
Al-Ain win 3-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Ain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-3 Al Raed
Thursday, March 7 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ain

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ain 1-0 Al-Nassr
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%).

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ain
45.28% (1.613 1.61)23.57% (-0.312 -0.31)31.14% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 61.28% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62% (0.938 0.94)40.38% (-0.934 -0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.958 0.96)62.76% (-0.955 -0.95)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87% (1.048 1.05)18.13% (-1.045 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.9% (1.756 1.76)49.1% (-1.752 -1.75)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (-0.328 -0.33)25.15% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (-0.457 -0.46)59.86% (0.46 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 45.28%
    Al-Ain 31.15%
    Draw 23.56%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Ain
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.131 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 6.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.243 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.211 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.135 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.174 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.14 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 45.28%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.33% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.338 -0.34)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.277 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Ain

Al-Nassr
76.9%
Draw
14.1%
Al-Ain
9.0%
78
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2024 4pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Ain
1-0
Al-Nassr
Rahimi (44')
Al Ahbabi (15'), Romero (45+6'), Essa (82'), Al Baloushi (83'), Al Shamsi (90+11')

Yahya (66'), Al Nemer (76'), Al Amri (90+15')
Laporte (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Al-Nassr
0-1
Al-Ain

Alkhaibari (67')
Fo-Doh Laba (19')
Abdulla (22'), Ali Shakir (52'), Hadeed (65'), Shiotani (68')
Feb 18, 2020 2.55pm
Group Stage
Al-Ain
1-2
Al-Nassr
Yaisien (18')
Barman (28'), Fahem (56')
Ali (57'), Hamdallah (80')
Al Obaid (65'), Amrabat (83'), Giuliano (87')