AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Feb 21, 2024 at 6pm UK

KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Fayha

(Al-Nassr win 3-0 on aggregate)

Otavio (17'), Ronaldo (86')
Castro (16'), Otavio (19'), Ronaldo (45+1'), Alkhaibari (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Al-Safari (15'), Al-Harthi (36'), Onyekuru (45+4'), Al-Baqawi (54'), Al-Khalaf (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-1 Al Fateh
Saturday, February 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al Fayha

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Hazem 1-3 Al Fayha
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fayha
65.4% ( 8.82)	18.19% ( -2.25)	16.41% ( -6.59)

Both teams to score 61.7% (

-3.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.6% (

0.57)

31.39% (

-0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.14% (

0.67)

52.85% (

-0.68)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95% (

2.33)

9.04% (

-2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.22% (

5.34)

30.77% (

-5.35)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-5.8)

32.16% (

5.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-7.14)

68.64% (

7.13)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 65.4%

Al Fayha 16.41%

Draw 18.19%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fayha
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 1.31) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.79) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 1.6) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.87) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 1.25) 4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.59) 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.73) 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.17) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.4%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.77) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.89) 0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.31% Total : 18.19%	1-2 @ 4.5% ( -1.3) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.8) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.88) Other @ 3% Total : 16.41%