AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium (Al Majma'ah)

Al Fayha
0 - 1
Al-Nassr

(Al-Nassr win 3-0 on aggregate)

Al-Shuwaish (77'), Sabiri (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ronaldo (81')
Alkhaibari (37'), Al-Najjar (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al Fayha and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Fayha 0-2 Al-Hilal
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al-Nassr
Thursday, February 8 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 16.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-3 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
16.03% ( -0.09)	17.88% ( -0.02)	66.08% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 62.01% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.37% (

-0.07)

30.63% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.05% (

-0.09)

51.95% (

0.09)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.9% (

-0.15)

32.09% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.43% (

-0.18)

68.57% (

0.18)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

0.01)

8.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.09% (

0.02)

29.91% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Al Fayha 16.03%

Al-Nassr 66.08%

Draw 17.88%

Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 16.03%	1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 17.88%	1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 7.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 66.08%