Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.

Result
Al Fayha	Draw	Ahal
45% ( 0.24)	25.41% ( -0.08)	29.59% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

0.25)

49.42% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

0.22)

71.46% (

-0.22)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

0.22)

21.94% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77% (

0.33)

55.22% (

-0.33)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

0.01)

30.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

0.01)

66.95% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Al Fayha 44.99%

Ahal 29.59%

Draw 25.4%

Al Fayha	Draw	Ahal
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.99%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.59%