AFC Champions League
Nov 28, 2023 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Khalid Bin Mohammed Stadium
  • Anthony Nwakaeme 19' goal
  • Fashion Sakala 45'+6' goal
  • Mohannad Al-Qaydhi 57' yellowcard
  • Sultan Madash 74' goal
  • goal Elman Tagayew 36'
  • yellowcard Alibek Abdurakhmanov 90'+6'

Al Fayha vs Ahal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Fayha

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 4.00pm
Al Fayha 2 - 3 Al-Ain

Ahal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 2.00pm
Ahal 1 - 1 Pakhtakor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 45%. A win for Ahal had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Ahal win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Fayha would win this match.

Result

Al Fayha 45% (+0.24)
Draw 25.41% (-0.08)
Ahal 29.59% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.09% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.58% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 49.42% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 28.54% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 71.46% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 13.67% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 86.33% (-0.15)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5 78.06% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 21.94% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 44.77% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 55.22% (-0.33)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5 69.3% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.7% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.04% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.95% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al Fayha 44.99%
Draw 25.4%
Ahal 29.59%
Al Fayha
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.75% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.92% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.06% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.4%
Ahal
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 29.59%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Sep 19, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Asgabat Stadiony
  • Elman Tagayew 51' goal
  • Elman Tagayew 52' yellowcard
  • Dayanch Meredov 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mokher Al-Rashidi 40'