AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 7, 2023 at 2pm UK

Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 1
Pakhtakor

Abdurakhmanov (81')
Abdurakhmanov (33'), Gurbanov (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Erkinov (90+5')
Azmiddinov (49'), Azmiddinov (50')
Khamrobekov (64')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ahal

Last Game: Pakhtakor 3-0 Ahal
Tuesday, October 24 at 3pm in AFC Champions League

Pakhtakor Tashkent

Last Game: Pakhtakor 3-0 Ahal
Tuesday, October 24 at 3pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 68.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.97%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Ahal	Draw	Pakhtakor Tashkent
12.34% ( -1.06)	19.19% ( -1.02)	68.47% ( 2.09)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64% (

1.94)

45.36% (

-1.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

1.83)

67.7% (

-1.83)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.33% (

-0.49)

46.68% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.76% (

-0.38)

82.24% (

0.38)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.82% (

1.18)

12.18% (

-1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.17% (

2.44)

37.83% (

-2.43)

Score Analysis

Ahal 12.35%

Pakhtakor Tashkent 68.47%

Draw 19.19%

Ahal	Draw	Pakhtakor Tashkent
1-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.35%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.48) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.19%	0-2 @ 12.6% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 8.84% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 4.65% ( 0.43) 1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.26) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.15% Total : 68.47%