AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
4 - 2
Ahal

Jorgens de Menezes (4'), Rahimi (32'), Fo-Doh Laba (41'), Autonne (70')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tagayew (58'), Meredov (85')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Ain and Ahal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

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Last Game: Pakhtakor 0-3 Al-Ain
Tuesday, September 19 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Ahal

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Last Game: Ahal 1-0 Al Fayha
Tuesday, September 19 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-AinDrawAhal
70.93% (5.59 5.59)17.18% (-2.553 -2.55)11.89% (-3.031 -3.03)
Both teams to score 52.45% (0.271 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.78% (4.743 4.74)37.22% (-4.737 -4.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.57% (4.94 4.94)59.43% (-4.935 -4.94)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.68% (2.737 2.74)9.32% (-2.731 -2.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.57% (6.122 6.12)31.43% (-6.116 -6.12)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.84% (-1.488 -1.49)42.16% (1.494 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.42% (-1.314 -1.31)78.57% (1.319 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 70.93%
    Ahal 11.89%
    Draw 17.18%
Al-AinDrawAhal
2-0 @ 11.06% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-0 @ 9.32% (-1.037 -1.04)
3-0 @ 8.75% (1.012 1.01)
3-1 @ 7.56% (0.595 0.6)
4-0 @ 5.19% (1.098 1.1)
4-1 @ 4.49% (0.801 0.8)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.131 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.47% (0.732 0.73)
5-1 @ 2.13% (0.57 0.57)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.28 0.28)
6-0 @ 0.98% (0.364 0.36)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 70.93%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-1.277 -1.28)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.315 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.972 -0.97)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 17.18%
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.72 -0.72)
0-1 @ 3.39% (-1.015 -1.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.518 -0.52)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.89%