AFC Champions League
Oct 3, 2023 5.00pm
4
2
HT : 3 0
FT Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
  • Erik Jorgens de Menezes 4' goal
  • Soufiane Rahimi 32' goal
  • Kodjo Fo-Doh Laba 41' goal
  • Kouame Autonne 70' goal
  • Eisa Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakmuhammet Basimow 51'
  • goal Elman Tagayew 58'
  • yellowcard Salim Umarow 72'
  • yellowcard Atageldi Geldiyew 83'
  • goal Dayanch Meredov 85'

Al-Ain vs Ahal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 3.00pm
Pakhtakor 0 - 3 Al-Ain

Ahal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 5.00pm
Ahal 1 - 0 Al Fayha

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 70.93%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for an Ahal win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result

Al-Ain 70.93% (+5.60)
Draw 17.18% (-2.56)
Ahal 11.89% (-3.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.45% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.78% (+4.75)
Under 2.5 37.22% (-4.74)
Over 3.5 40.57% (+4.94)
Under 3.5 59.43% (-4.94)
Over 4.5 22.6% (+3.87)
Under 4.5 77.4% (-3.86)

Al-Ain Goals

Over 0.5 90.68% (+2.74)
Under 0.5 9.32% (-2.74)
Over 1.5 68.57% (+6.13)
Under 1.5 31.43% (-6.12)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5 57.84% (-1.49)
Under 0.5 42.16% (+1.50)
Over 1.5 21.42% (-1.32)
Under 1.5 78.57% (+1.32)

Score analysis

Al-Ain 70.93%
Draw 17.18%
Ahal 11.89%
Al-Ain
2-0 @ 11.06% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.32)
1-0 @ 9.32% (-1.04)
3-0 @ 8.75% (+1.02)
3-1 @ 7.56% (+0.60)
4-0 @ 5.19% (+1.10)
4-1 @ 4.49% (+0.81)
3-2 @ 3.26% (+0.14)
5-0 @ 2.47% (+0.74)
5-1 @ 2.13% (+0.58)
4-2 @ 1.94% (+0.29)
Other @ 5.21%
Total : 70.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.05% (-1.28)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.32)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.98)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 17.18%
Ahal
1-2 @ 3.48% (-0.73)
0-1 @ 3.39% (-1.02)
0-2 @ 1.47% (-0.52)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.26)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.89%