Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.