AFC Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion
  • Khojimat Erkinov 23' goal
  • Azizbek Turgunboev 27' goal
  • Azizbek Turgunboev 59' goal
  • Diyor Kholmatov 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elman Tagayew 21'
  • yellowcard Furkat Tursunov 31'
  • yellowcard Adylbek Ravshanow 62'

Pakhtakor Tashkent vs Ahal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakhtakor Tashkent

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 5.00pm
Al Fayha 2 - 0 Pakhtakor

Ahal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 5.00pm
Al-Ain 4 - 2 Ahal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 69.42%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Ahal win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pakhtakor Tashkent would win this match.

Result

Pakhtakor Tashkent 69.42% (+0.04)
Draw 18.92% (-0.01)
Ahal 11.66% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.54% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.08% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.92% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.78% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.22% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.92% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.08% (+0.01)

Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals

Over 0.5 87.92% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.08% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 37.61% (-0.02)

Ahal Goals

Over 0.5 51.8% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 48.2% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 16.62% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 83.38% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Pakhtakor Tashkent 69.41%
Draw 18.92%
Ahal 11.66%
Pakhtakor Tashkent
2-0 @ 13% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 12.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.92%
Ahal
0-1 @ 4.25% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 11.66%