Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.