Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 22
Feb 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
4 - 4
Al Hazem

Talisca (31' pen., 61', 71'), Mane (90+4' pen.)
Brozovic (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Al Mhemaid (53'), Toze (66'), Selemani (84'), Ricardo (90+9')
Badamosi (42'), Al Mhemaid (88'), Dahmen (90+3'), Selemani (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 2-3 Al-Nassr
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Hazem

All competitions
Last Game: Al Hazem 1-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, February 24 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Hazem
75.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)15% (0.022 0.02)9.52% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.126 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.34% (0.049999999999997 0.05)33.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.52% (0.058999999999997 0.06)55.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.46% (0.0041000000000002 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (0.14 0.14)44.03% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.85% (0.117 0.12)80.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 75.47%
    Al Hazem 9.52%
    Draw 15.01%
Al-NassrDrawAl Hazem
2-0 @ 11.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.57% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 6.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.1% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-0 @ 3.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.65%
4-2 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.15%
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.47%
1-1 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.52%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Hazem

Al-Nassr
94.7%
Draw
2.6%
Al Hazem
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Hazem
1-5
Al-Nassr
Badamosi (47')
Ghareeb (33'), Alkhaibari (45+8'), Otavio (57'), Ronaldo (68'), Mane (78')
Castro (0'), Ali (90+1')