Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ar-Rass Stadium (Al Hazm Club Stadium) (Ar-Rass (Rass))

Al Hazem
0 - 4
Al-Ahli


Badamosi (22'), Mohammed (38'), Al-Aazmi (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mahrez (45+1'), Veiga (58'), Albirakan (81'), Demiral (90+1')
Hamidou (40'), Ibanez (66')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Hazem and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Abha 1-1 Al Hazem
Thursday, December 14 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-4 Al-Ahli
Thursday, December 14 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al HazemDrawAl-Ahli
12.8% (-0.433 -0.43)16.87% (-0.107 -0.11)70.33% (0.544 0.54)
Both teams to score 56.73% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.79% (-0.601 -0.6)33.22% (0.606 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.03% (-0.691 -0.69)54.97% (0.697 0.7)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (-1.041 -1.04)38.05% (1.047 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.19% (-1.022 -1.02)74.81% (1.028 1.03)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.57% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)8.43% (0.039 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.72% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.28% (0.09 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al Hazem 12.8%
    Al-Ahli 70.33%
    Draw 16.87%
Al HazemDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 3.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 3.1% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.19% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 12.8%
1-1 @ 7.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.87%
0-2 @ 9.81% (0.277 0.28)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 8.09% (0.215 0.21)
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.237 0.24)
1-3 @ 7.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 5% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 4.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.47% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-5 @ 1.16% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-6 @ 1.02% (0.022 0.02)
1-6 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.33%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Al-Ahli
3-1
Al Hazem
Firmino (6', 10', 72')
Hindi (87')
Vinicius (50')
Al Shammari (13'), Al Mhemaid (20')