Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Abha had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Abha win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Abha	Draw	Al-Ahli
29.38% ( 0.16)	24.43% ( 0.04)	46.19% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.7% (

-0.09)

45.3% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.36% (

-0.09)

67.63% (

0.09)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.25% (

0.07)

28.75% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.41% (

0.08)

64.59% (

-0.08)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.28% (

-0.12)

19.72% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.26% (

-0.2)

51.74% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Abha 29.38%

Al-Ahli 46.19%

Draw 24.43%

Abha	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.38%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.43%	1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.19%