Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21

Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al Shabab
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ronaldo (21' pen., 21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')

Reaction

Al Nassr's Cristiano Ronaldo celebrates scoring their first goal on February 17, 2024

Al-Nassr's Cristiano Ronaldo banned for response to Lionel Messi chants

Al-Nassr captain Cristiano Ronaldo is handed a one-match ban by the Saudi Arabian Football Federation (SAFF) for his response to chants about Lionel Messi.

Feb 29, 23:21

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
23.76% ( -0.4)	21.42% ( -0.05)	54.82% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.09% (

-0.2)

35.9% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42% (

-0.22)

57.99% (

0.22)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.04% (

-0.42)

27.95% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.41% (

-0.54)

63.58% (

0.54)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.83% (

0.07)

13.17% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.13% (

0.13)

39.87% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 23.76%

Al-Nassr 54.82%

Draw 21.42%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.76%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 54.82%