MX23RW : Tuesday, April 16 08:18:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
2 - 3
Al-Nassr

Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (90+12')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ronaldo (21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Shabab 1-3 Al-Nassr

Al Nassr have put on three very impressive performances since returning from the international break and are the clear favourites to bag the points in this match. The Knights of Najd have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, and we feel they will secure another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
23.76% (-0.395 -0.4) 21.42% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 54.82% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 62.55% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.09% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)35.9% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42% (-0.223 -0.22)57.99% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.04% (-0.42 -0.42)27.95% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.41% (-0.538 -0.54)63.58% (0.539 0.54)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (0.066000000000003 0.07)13.17% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.13% (0.134 0.13)39.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 23.76%
    Al-Nassr 54.82%
    Draw 21.42%
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 23.76%
1-1 @ 9.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.42%
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 7.46% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.52% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.11% (0.089 0.09)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.3% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.59% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 54.82%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Al-Nassr
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Nassr
4-0
Al Shabab
Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal27252083176677
2Al-Nassr27212480344665
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli27157553282552
4Al Ittihad27145851351647
5Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun27138646301647
6Al Ettifaq2710983328539
7Al Fateh27107104440437
8Damac2798103833535
9Al Fayha2798103643-735
10Al Khaleej2797113138-734
11Al ShababAl Shabab2788113135-432
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2794144147-631
13Al RaedAl Raed2786133540-530
14Al Riyadh2767142348-2525
15Abha2774163169-3825
16Al Okhdood2773172245-2324
17Al Tai2765162755-2823
18Al Hazem27210152565-4016


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