Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 76.57%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.