Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.