Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 20
Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Raed

Mitrovic (3', 29' pen.), Koulibaly (52')
Michael (40'), Albulayhi (42'), Lodi (61'), Al-Faraj (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sayoud (90+6')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Raed.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Sepahan 1-3 Al-Hilal
Thursday, February 15 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Al Raed

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 4-3 Abha
Friday, December 29 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.72%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
73.87% (0.69499999999999 0.69)15.14% (-0.157 -0.16)11% (-0.537 -0.54)
Both teams to score 57.57% (-1.428 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.59% (-0.83500000000001 -0.84)29.41% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.52% (-1.024 -1.02)50.48% (1.025 1.03)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.19% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)6.8% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.91% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)25.09% (0.168 0.17)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77% (-1.489 -1.49)38.23% (1.49 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (-1.461 -1.46)74.99% (1.462 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 73.87%
    Al Raed 11%
    Draw 15.14%
Al-HilalDrawAl Raed
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.387 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.319 0.32)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.311 0.31)
4-0 @ 5.66% (0.196 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.44% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-0 @ 3.04% (0.096 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.62% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.41% (-0.071 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.36% (0.039 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 73.87%
1-1 @ 6.72% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-0 @ 2.6% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 15.14%
1-2 @ 3.23% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-1 @ 2.5% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 11%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Raed

Al-Hilal
100%
Draw
0.0%
Al Raed
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Raed
0-4
Al-Hilal

Gonzalez (45+1'), Al Fahad (82')
Gonzalez (78')
Mitrovic (42'), Al-Dawsari (56' pen., 69'), Alhamddan (89')
Milinkovic-Savic (76')
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