AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium

Sepahan
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Rezaeian (37')
Karimi (29'), Rezaeian (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malcom (57'), Mitrovic (90+4'), Alhamddan (90+7')
Malcom (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's AFC Champions League clash between Sepahan and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Sepahan
Monday, December 4 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
SepahanDrawAl-Hilal
15.49% (0.068999999999999 0.07)19.41% (0.052999999999997 0.05)65.1% (-0.124 -0.12)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73% (-0.114 -0.11)39.27% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (-0.12 -0.12)61.6% (0.116 0.12)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)38.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)11.33% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.01% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)35.99% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sepahan 15.49%
    Al-Hilal 65.1%
    Draw 19.41%
SepahanDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 4.16% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.49%
1-1 @ 9.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.41%
0-2 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.43% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.06% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.1%

How you voted: Sepahan vs Al-Hilal

Sepahan
0.0%
Draw
3.6%
Al-Hilal
96.4%
28
rhs 2.0


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