AFC Champions League
Feb 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
  • Mohammad Karimi 29' yellowcard
  • Ramin Rezaeian 37' goal
  • Mohammad Daneshgar 76' redcard
  • Ramin Rezaeian 86' yellowcard
  • goal Malcom 57'
  • yellowcard Malcom 86'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 90'+4'
  • goal Abdullah Alhamddan 90'+7'

Sepahan vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sepahan

All competitions

Al-Hilal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Sepahan win it was 2-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Sepahan 15.49% (+0.07)
Draw 19.41% (+0.06)
Al-Hilal 65.1% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.76% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.73% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 39.27% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 38.4% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 61.6% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 20.87% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 79.13% (+0.09)

Sepahan Goals

Over 0.5 61.76% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 38.24% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75% (-0.03)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 88.67% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 11.33% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 64.01% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 35.99% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Sepahan 15.49%
Draw 19.41%
Al-Hilal 65.1%
Sepahan
2-1 @ 4.36% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 4.16% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 15.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.41%
Al-Hilal
0-2 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 9.88% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.43% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 7.46% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 7.17% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 4.06% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 3.91% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.77% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 65.1%