AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Asgabat Stadiony

Ahal
1 - 2
Al-Ain

Tagayew (35')
Geldiyew (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rahimi (13' pen.), Atzili (32' pen.)
Loulendo (7')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ahal and Al-Ain.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ahal

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Last Game: Al Fayha 3-1 Ahal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al-Ain 1-3 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 72.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Ahal had a probability of 12.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Ahal win it was 2-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
AhalDrawAl-Ain
12.06% (2.2571 2.26)15.91% (1.044 1.04)72.04% (-3.297 -3.3)
Both teams to score 58.23% (4.568 4.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.72% (1.656 1.66)30.29% (-1.652 -1.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.47% (1.959 1.96)51.54% (-1.957 -1.96)
Ahal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.86% (5.099 5.1)37.14% (-5.095 -5.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.07% (4.712 4.71)73.93% (-4.708 -4.71)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)7.36% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.44% (-0.70099999999999 -0.7)26.57% (0.705 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Ahal 12.06%
    Al-Ain 72.04%
    Draw 15.91%
AhalDrawAl-Ain
2-1 @ 3.5% (0.554 0.55)
1-0 @ 2.71% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.387 0.39)
2-0 @ 1.34% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 1.16% (0.309 0.31)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 12.06%
1-1 @ 7.07% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.668 0.67)
0-0 @ 2.73% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.323 0.32)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.91%
0-2 @ 9.31% (-1.175 -1.18)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.177 0.18)
0-3 @ 8.09% (-1.158 -1.16)
1-3 @ 8.02% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.794 -0.79)
0-4 @ 5.28% (-0.842 -0.84)
1-4 @ 5.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.533 0.53)
0-5 @ 2.75% (-0.485 -0.49)
1-5 @ 2.73% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.59% (0.316 0.32)
2-5 @ 1.35% (0.148 0.15)
0-6 @ 1.2% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 4%
Total : 72.04%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Al-Ain
4-2
Ahal
Jorgens de Menezes (4'), Rahimi (32'), Fo-Doh Laba (41'), Autonne (70')
Khalfan Zayed Dawi Alharasi (90+8')
Tagayew (58'), Meredov (85')
Basimow (51'), Umarow (72'), Geldiyew (83')