AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
1 - 3
Pakhtakor

Khalfan (18')
Saeed (19'), Loulendo (69')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Erkinov (55', 62'), Ceran (78')
Azmiddinov (9'), Asqarov (45+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Ain and Pakhtakor Tashkent.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al Fayha 2-3 Al-Ain
Tuesday, November 7 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Pakhtakor Tashkent

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Last Game: Ahal 1-1 Pakhtakor
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Al-AinDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
41.44% (-0.666 -0.67)25.57% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)32.99% (0.755 0.75)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (0.612 0.61)48.81% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (0.555 0.56)70.91% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)23.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)57.35% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.78700000000001 0.79)28.11% (-0.791 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.989 0.99)63.78% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 41.44%
    Pakhtakor Tashkent 32.99%
    Draw 25.57%
Al-AinDrawPakhtakor Tashkent
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-1 @ 8.81% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.94% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.44%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.087 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 32.99%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Pakhtakor
0-3
Al-Ain

Azmiddinov (62'), Alidjanov (68'), Kholdorkhonov (81'), Banaszak (88')
Fo-Doh Laba (11', 66'), Al Baloushi (25')
Autonne (43'), Al Baloushi (62'), Yong-woo (80'), Al Ahbabi (84'), Barman (90')