AFC Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
4 - 2
Al-Hilal

Rahimi (6', 26' pen., 38' pen.), Romero (56' pen.)
Al Baloushi (9'), Erik (45+7'), Rahimi (69')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Malcom (49'), Al-Dawsari (78')
Al-Owais (26'), Albulayhi (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Ain and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ain

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Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
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Al-Hilal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-4 Al-Hilal
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 58.5%. A win for Al-Ain had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 0-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Al-Ain win was 2-1 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-AinDrawAl-Hilal
21.22% (-0.204 -0.2)20.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)58.5% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 63.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45% (-0.182 -0.18)33.55% (0.186 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.64% (-0.208 -0.21)55.36% (0.212 0.21)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (-0.279 -0.28)28.73% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.352 -0.35)64.57% (0.35599999999999 0.36)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.64% (0.007000000000005 0.01)11.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)36.08% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 21.22%
    Al-Hilal 58.5%
    Draw 20.28%
Al-AinDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 5.52% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 21.22%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 9.63% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.98% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.04% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.65% (0.004 0)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.014 0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.5%

How you voted: Al-Ain vs Al-Hilal

Al-Ain
16.4%
Draw
9.1%
Al-Hilal
74.5%
55
Head to Head
May 6, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al-Ain
Babhir (1'), Al Shalhoub (90')

Caio (55')
Mar 5, 2019 3.20pm
Group Stage
Al-Ain
0-1
Al-Hilal

Doumbia (27'), Maroof (84')
Ahmed (90')
Al Shalhoub (65')
Kanoo (95')
Apr 2, 2018 4.30pm
-
Al-Ain
2-1
Al-Hilal
Berg (40' pen., 45' pen.)
Ahmed (36'), Abdulrahman (68')
Abdulrahman (91')
Al Burayk (7')
Ayidh Al Rashidi (18'), Bencharki (28'), Albulayhi (39'), Milesi (70'), Yahya Jahfali (81')
Feb 13, 2018 5.25pm
-
Al-Hilal
0-0
Al-Ain
Milesi (39'), Kanoo (72')
Abdulrahman (6'), Caio (39'), Salem (50'), Fayez (87'), Barman (88')