Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 1
Damac

Al-Dawsari (79'), Michael (90+3')
Albulayhi (11'), Abdul Hamid (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antolic (86')
Hamed (17'), Bedrane (70')
Contra (12'), Al-Anazi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 12 at 7pm in AFC Champions League

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Wahda
Thursday, March 7 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Damac had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawDamac
79.27% (-0.77 -0.77)12.85% (0.435 0.44)7.87% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.66% (-1.037 -1.04)28.34% (1.031 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.84% (-1.29 -1.29)49.16% (1.285 1.29)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.4% (-0.34 -0.34)5.6% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.26% (-0.97800000000001 -0.98)21.73% (0.973 0.97)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)43.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.82% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 79.27%
    Damac 7.87%
    Draw 12.85%
Al-HilalDrawDamac
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 9.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.83% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 4.05% (-0.181 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.36% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.95% (-0.131 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 79.27%
1-1 @ 5.84% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 12.85%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Damac

Al-Hilal
100%
Draw
0.0%
Damac
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 7
Damac
1-1
Al-Hilal
Stanciu (68')
Hamed (12'), Sayyar Al Anazi (45+3')
Malcom (9')
Michael (90+2')
> Preview