AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Feb 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Sepahan

Al-Dawsari (76'), Neves (82'), Mitrovic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahmadzadeh (54')
Yazdani (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's AFC Champions League clash between Al-Hilal and Sepahan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Al Raed
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Sepahan

All competitions
Last Game: Sepahan 1-3 Al-Hilal
Thursday, February 15 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawSepahan
61.92% (-1.032 -1.03)19.94% (0.437 0.44)18.13% (0.596 0.6)
Both teams to score 58.8% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (-1.033 -1.03)36.77% (1.034 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.06% (-1.131 -1.13)58.94% (1.131 1.13)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.57% (-0.574 -0.57)11.43% (0.575 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.77% (-1.262 -1.26)36.22% (1.264 1.26)
Sepahan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (0.019999999999996 0.02)33.61% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.25% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 61.92%
    Sepahan 18.13%
    Draw 19.94%
Al-HilalDrawSepahan
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.227 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-0 @ 3.54% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.106 -0.11)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 61.92%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.252 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.192 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.94%
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.211 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.28% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Sepahan

Al-Hilal
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Sepahan
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Feb 15, 2024 4pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Sepahan
1-3
Al-Hilal
Rezaeian (37')
Karimi (29'), Rezaeian (86')
Daneshgar (76')
Malcom (57'), Mitrovic (90+4'), Alhamddan (90+7')
Malcom (86')
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