AFC Champions League
Feb 22, 2024 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kingdom Arena
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 76' goal
  • Ruben Neves 82' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 90'+6' goal
  • goal Farshad Ahmadzadeh 54'
  • redcard Siavash Yazdani 71'

Al-Hilal vs Sepahan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2024 4.00pm
Sepahan 1 - 3 Al-Hilal

Sepahan

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Feb 15, 2024 4.00pm
Sepahan 1 - 3 Al-Hilal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Sepahan had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Sepahan win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Al-Hilal 61.92% (-1.04)
Draw 19.94% (+0.44)
Sepahan 18.13% (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.8% (-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.23% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 36.77% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 41.06% (-1.14)
Under 3.5 58.94% (+1.14)
Over 4.5 23% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 77% (+0.94)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 88.57% (-0.58)
Under 0.5 11.43% (+0.58)
Over 1.5 63.77% (-1.27)
Under 1.5 36.22% (+1.27)

Sepahan Goals

Over 0.5 66.39% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.61% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.74% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.25% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Al-Hilal 61.92%
Draw 19.94%
Sepahan 18.13%
Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 9.85% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 9.04% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.33% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.14)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.86% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 3.54% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.68% (-0.12)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.11)
Other @ 4.44%
Total : 61.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.09% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 5.37% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (+0.20)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.94%
Sepahan
1-2 @ 4.95% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 4.19% (+0.22)
0-2 @ 2.28% (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.8% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 18.13%

Head to Head

AFC Champions League
Feb 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
  • Mohammad Karimi 29' yellowcard
  • Ramin Rezaeian 37' goal
  • Mohammad Daneshgar 76' redcard
  • Ramin Rezaeian 86' yellowcard
  • goal Malcom 57'
  • yellowcard Malcom 86'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 90'+4'
  • goal Abdullah Alhamddan 90'+7'