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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 26, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
0 - 2
Al-Hilal


Toko Ekambi (42'), Al Shamrani (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milinkovic-Savic (39'), Al-Dawsari (45+5')
Mitrovic (45+3'), Neves (52'), Koulibaly (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Khaleej 0-2 Al Ettifaq
Thursday, February 15 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 3-1 Sepahan
Thursday, February 22 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Ettifaq 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al-Hilal have looked a cut above the rest in the Saudi Pro League this season, and with a record of 18 wins and two losses in 20 games, it is difficult to back against them securing another win here against an opponent that have only just snapped up an eight-match winless league run. While last week's victory would have gone a long way to improving the mood around the Al Ettifaq camp, we feel they will be no match for the Blue Waves in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 69.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for an Al Ettifaq win it was 1-0 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
12.77% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 18.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 69.16% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.77% (-0.382 -0.38)39.23% (0.381 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.44% (-0.402 -0.4)61.56% (0.401 0.4)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.93% (-0.358 -0.36)42.07% (0.356 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.314 -0.31)78.5% (0.31099999999999 0.31)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.72% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)10.27% (0.097 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.34% (-0.223 -0.22)33.65% (0.22 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 12.77%
    Al-Hilal 69.16%
    Draw 18.07%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 3.74% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.69% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 12.77%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.07%
0-2 @ 11.19% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 8.49% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.35% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 4.83% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.18% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-5 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 69.16%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Hilal

Al Ettifaq
10.3%
Draw
6.9%
Al-Hilal
82.8%
29
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ettifaq
Malcom (24'), Al-Dawsari (41')
Aldawsari (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal27252083176677
2Al-Nassr27212480344665
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli27157553282552
4Al Ittihad27145851351647
5Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun27138646301647
6Al Ettifaq2710983328539
7Al Fateh27107104440437
8Damac2798103833535
9Al Fayha2798103643-735
10Al Khaleej2797113138-734
11Al ShababAl Shabab2788113135-432
12Al WahdaAl Wahda2794144147-631
13Al RaedAl Raed2786133540-530
14Al Riyadh2767142348-2525
15Abha2774163169-3825
16Al Okhdood2773172245-2324
17Al Tai2765162755-2823
18Al Hazem27210152565-4016


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