Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 3.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 0-4 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.