Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Mar 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Al Riyadh
1 - 3
Al-Hilal

Albulayhi (52' og.)
Hellmann (52'), N'Dong (56'), Al Shwirekh (63'), Campana (66'), Musona (68'), Al-Shuwayyi (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Neves (66' pen.), Michael (75'), Mitrovic (90+3' pen.)
Abdul Hamid (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-2 Al Riyadh
Friday, March 1 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-0 Al Ittihad
Tuesday, March 5 at 6pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 3.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 0-4 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Hilal
3.5% (-0.0049000000000001 -0)9.33% (0.020999999999999 0.02)87.17% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Both teams to score 36.77% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.1% (-0.164 -0.16)31.9% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.55% (-0.193 -0.19)53.45% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.66% (-0.152 -0.15)61.34% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.68% (-0.074 -0.07)91.32% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.12% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)4.88% (0.031 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.4% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)19.6% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Al Riyadh 3.5%
    Al-Hilal 87.15%
    Draw 9.33%
Al RiyadhDrawAl-Hilal
1-0 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
2-1 @ 1.08% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 3.5%
1-1 @ 4.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 9.33%
0-3 @ 13.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 13.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-4 @ 10.37%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 6.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 6.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.07% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-6 @ 3.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-5 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-7 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 87.15%

How you voted: Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal

Al Riyadh
16.7%
Draw
8.3%
Al-Hilal
75.0%
24
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Hilal
6-1
Al Riyadh
Mitrovic (30' pen.), Al-Shahrani (45+4'), Al-Dawsari (68'), Malcom (83'), Al-Dawsari (87' pen., 90+5')
Abdul Hamid (33')
Al-Zaqaan (90+6')
Toure (21'), N'Dong (34'), Musona (40'), Juanmi (45+8')
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