Saudi Pro League Gameweek 23
Mar 8, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
  • Ali Albulayhi 52' goal
  • Odair Hellmann 52' yellowcard
  • Didier N'Dong 56' yellowcard
  • Mohammed Al Shwirekh 63' yellowcard
  • Martin Campana 66' yellowcard
  • Knowledge Musona 68' yellowcard
  • Khalid Al-Shuwayyi 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saud Abdul Hamid 51'
  • goal Ruben Neves 66'
  • goal Michael 75'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 90'+3'

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 2.00pm
Al Okhdood 1 - 2 Al Riyadh
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Andre Gray

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 1, 2024 5.00pm
Al-Hilal 3 - 1 Al Ittihad
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Aleksandar Mitrovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 3.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.64%) and 0-4 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.42%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Al Riyadh 3.5% (-0.01)
Draw 9.33% (+0.03)
Al-Hilal 87.17% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.77% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.1% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 31.9% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 46.55% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 53.45% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 27.64% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 72.36% (+0.18)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5 38.66% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 61.34% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 8.68% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 91.32% (+0.08)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 95.12% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 4.88% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 80.4% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 19.6% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Al Riyadh 3.5%
Draw 9.33%
Al-Hilal 87.15%
Al Riyadh
1-0 @ 1.46% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 3.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 9.33%
Al-Hilal
0-3 @ 13.74% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 13.64% (+0.07)
0-4 @ 10.37%
0-1 @ 9.03% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 6.27% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 5.07% (-0.03)
0-6 @ 3.16% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
1-6 @ 1.54% (-0.02)
0-7 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 87.15%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 7.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 0
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 30' goal
  • Saud Abdul Hamid 33' yellowcard
  • Yasir Al-Shahrani 45'+4' goal
  • Nasser Al-Dawsari 68' goal
  • Malcom 83' goal
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 87' goal
  • Salem Al-Dawsari 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Birama Toure 21'
  • yellowcard Didier N'Dong 34'
  • yellowcard Knowledge Musona 40'
  • yellowcard Juanmi 45'+8'
  • goal Ali Al-Zaqaan 90'+6'