Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 70.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al Ittihad in this match.