AFC Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadion Surkhon

Navbahor
0 - 0
Al Ittihad

Khamrobekov (11'), Babayan (31'), Nikabadze (79')

Al-Sagour (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's AFC Champions League clash between Navbahor and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Navbahor

Last Game: Mumbai City 1-2 Navbahor
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in AFC Champions League

Al Ittihad

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Al Tai 0-3 Al Ittihad
Wednesday, February 7 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Navbahor had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Navbahor win was 1-0 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Navbahor	Draw	Al Ittihad
26.93% ( 0.21)	25.99% ( 0.01)	47.08% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.1)

53.25% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.08)

74.8% (

-0.08)

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.26% (

0.23)

34.73% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.53% (

0.24)

71.46% (

-0.23)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.39% (

-0.05)

22.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.78% (

-0.08)

56.22% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Navbahor 26.93%

Al Ittihad 47.08%

Draw 25.98%

Navbahor	Draw	Al Ittihad
1-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.93%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.08%