AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 23, 2023 at 5pm UK
Markaziy Stadion

Navbahor
2 - 1
Nassaji Mazandaran

Urunov (74'), Abdi (90+7' og.)
Akhmedov (7'), Golban (27')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Azadi (44')
Azadi (87')
Hardani (52')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Navbahor and Nassaji Mazandaran.

Form, Standings, Stats

Navbahor

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Last Game: Navbahor 3-0 Mumbai City
Tuesday, October 3 at 3pm in AFC Champions League
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Nassaji Mazandaran

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Last Game: Nassaji Mazandaran 0-3 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, October 3 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 75.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 6.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.51%) and 3-0 (11.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.95%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 0-1 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Navbahor would win this match.

Result
NavbahorDrawNassaji Mazandaran
75.65% (-0.874 -0.87)17.44% (0.446 0.45)6.91% (0.428 0.43)
Both teams to score 31.97% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.241 -0.24)53.58% (0.241 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.201 -0.2)75.08% (0.202 0.2)
Navbahor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.32300000000001 -0.32)12.54% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (-0.675 -0.68)38.57% (0.675 0.68)
Nassaji Mazandaran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.55% (1.064 1.06)63.45% (-1.064 -1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.69% (0.4779 0.48)92.31% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Navbahor 75.62%
    Nassaji Mazandaran 6.91%
    Draw 17.44%
NavbahorDrawNassaji Mazandaran
2-0 @ 17.14% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-0 @ 16.51% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
3-0 @ 11.86% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 6.16% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 75.62%
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.075 0.08)
1-1 @ 7.52% (0.253 0.25)
2-2 @ 1.78% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.44%
0-1 @ 3.62% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 1.71% (0.118 0.12)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 6.91%