AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 6, 2023 at 2pm UK

Azadi Stadium

Nassaji Mazandaran
1 - 3
Navbahor

Azadi (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Golban (7'), Urunov (21', 46')
Ivanovic (73'), Boltaboev (90+4')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nassaji Mazandaran and Navbahor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nassaji Mazandaran

Last Game: Navbahor 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran
Monday, October 23 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Navbahor

Last Game: Navbahor 2-1 Nassaji Mazandaran
Monday, October 23 at 5pm in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.25%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Navbahor would win this match.

Result
Nassaji Mazandaran	Draw	Navbahor
20.31% ( -1.61)	26.89% ( -0.05)	52.8% ( 1.66)

Both teams to score 41.45% (

-1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.42% (

-1.26)

61.58% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.57% (

-0.94)

81.43% (

0.94)

Nassaji Mazandaran Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.25% (

-2.47)

45.75% (

2.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.47% (

-2)

81.53% (

Navbahor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.4% (

0.2)

23.6% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.32% (

0.28)

57.68% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Nassaji Mazandaran 20.31%

Navbahor 52.79%

Draw 26.88%

Nassaji Mazandaran	Draw	Navbahor
1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.31%	1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 15.59% ( 0.81) 0-2 @ 11.25% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 5.42% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 52.79%