Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.25%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Nassaji Mazandaran win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Navbahor would win this match.