AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Shree Shiv Chhatrapati Sports Complex

Mumbai City
1 - 2
Navbahor

El Khayati (15')
van Nieff (11'), Mishra (28'), Chhangte (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Iskanderov (29'), Dokic (45+3')
Akhmedov (14'), Abdumannopov (90+3')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Mumbai City and Navbahor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mumbai City

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Last Game: Nassaji Mazandaran 2-0 Mumbai City
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Navbahor

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Last Game: Navbahor 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, November 28 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Navbahor win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Mumbai City had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Navbahor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Mumbai City win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Navbahor in this match.

Result
Mumbai CityDrawNavbahor
35.29% (2.069 2.07)24.83% (-0.672 -0.67)39.88% (-1.397 -1.4)
Both teams to score 58.19% (2.82 2.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97% (3.444 3.44)45.03% (-3.445 -3.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62% (3.226 3.23)67.38% (-3.226 -3.23)
Mumbai City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.08% (2.875 2.88)24.92% (-2.877 -2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.45% (3.837 3.84)59.55% (-3.837 -3.84)
Navbahor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (0.818 0.82)22.5% (-0.818 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (1.204 1.2)56.06% (-1.205 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Mumbai City 35.29%
    Navbahor 39.88%
    Draw 24.83%
Mumbai CityDrawNavbahor
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.507 -0.51)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.439 0.44)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.386 0.39)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.24 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.243 0.24)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.2 0.2)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 35.29%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.392 0.39)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.875 -0.88)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 8.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.631 -0.63)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.1% (-0.233 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3% (0.262 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 39.88%

Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Navbahor
3-0
Mumbai City
Iskanderov (52'), Yakhshibaev (58'), Abdumannopov (88')
Yoldoshev (62'), Akhmedov (90+6')

Pereyra Diaz (66')