AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2023 at 4pm UK
Vatani Stadium

Nassaji Mazandaran
2 - 0
Mumbai City

Azadi (14'), Nongtdu (32' og.)
Hosseini (79'), Seifi (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bheke (11'), Nongtdu (35')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Nassaji Mazandaran and Mumbai City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nassaji Mazandaran

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Last Game: Nassaji Mazandaran 1-3 Navbahor
Monday, November 6 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
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Mumbai City

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Last Game: Mumbai City 0-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, November 6 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mumbai City win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Nassaji Mazandaran had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mumbai City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Nassaji Mazandaran win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Nassaji MazandaranDrawMumbai City
28.13% (-0.702 -0.7)22.51% (-0.106 -0.11)49.36% (0.81 0.81)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.89% (0.021000000000001 0.02)37.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (0.024999999999999 0.02)59.3% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Nassaji Mazandaran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.44799999999999 -0.45)25.44% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.617 -0.62)60.26% (0.61799999999999 0.62)
Mumbai City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.64% (0.29299999999999 0.29)15.36% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (0.544 0.54)44.13% (-0.545 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    Nassaji Mazandaran 28.13%
    Mumbai City 49.36%
    Draw 22.5%
Nassaji MazandaranDrawMumbai City
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.116 -0.12)
1-0 @ 5.35% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 28.13%
1-1 @ 10.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.13 0.13)
1-3 @ 5.86% (0.095 0.09)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.072 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.01% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.88% (0.026 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.03% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 49.36%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 3pm
Group Stage
Mumbai City
0-2
Nassaji Mazandaran

Apuia (45+7'), Pereyra Diaz (65'), van Nieff (66')
Hosseini (34'), Azadi (62')
Mohammadzadeh (65'), Abdi (90+6')