MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 22:03:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
3 - 4
Al-Hilal

Al-Juwayr (3'), Al-Sibyani (64'), Saiss (78')
Santos (36')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Mitrovic (20' pen., 27'), Milinkovic-Savic (42'), Al-Dawsari (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Hazem 0-3 Al Shabab
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 2-1 Damac
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Hilal

Al Shabab have fallen a long way this season and need string together a few positive results to pull away from the relegation scrap. Unfortunately for the hosts, though, they are facing an opponent that have taken on all-comers this season and have looked almost unbeaten at times. Al-Hilal are massive favourites heading into this match and we feel they will claim yet another straightforward victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
10.75% (-0.022 -0.02) 15.32% (0.084 0.08) 73.92% (-0.065999999999988 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.78% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.86% (-0.512 -0.51)31.14% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.44% (-0.607 -0.61)52.55% (0.605 0.61)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)39.89% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44% (-0.375 -0.38)76.56% (0.371 0.37)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.81% (-0.133 -0.13)7.19% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.89% (-0.345 -0.34)26.11% (0.341 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 10.75%
    Al-Hilal 73.92%
    Draw 15.32%
Al ShababDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 2.64% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 1.21% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 10.75%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.87% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.32%
0-2 @ 9.94% (0.142 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 8.72% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.16 0.16)
0-4 @ 5.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-5 @ 3.02% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 73.92%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal

Al Shabab
7.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Hilal
92.3%
13
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Shabab
Koulibaly (68'), Mitrovic (76')
Albulayhi (45+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal32293096217590
2Al-Nassr32253494385678
3Al-AhliAl-Ahli32187766353161
4Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun321510749341555
5Al Ittihad32156115749851
6Al Ettifaq32111294233945
7Al Fayha321110114350-743
8Al Fateh32119125351242
9Al ShababAl Shabab32118134239341
10Damac321010124240240
11Al Khaleej32910133443-937
12Al RaedAl Raed3298154048-835
13Al WahdaAl Wahda32105174357-1435
14Al Riyadh32710152954-2531
15Al Tai3287173359-2631
16Al Okhdood3285193051-2129
17Abha3285193584-4929
18Al Hazem32312173173-4221


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!