Saudi Pro League Gameweek 25
Mar 30, 2024 7.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 3
FT King Fahd International Stadium
  • Musab Al-Juwayr 3' goal
  • Iago Santos 36' yellowcard
  • Hussain Al-Sibyani 64' goal
  • Romain Saiss 78' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 20'
  • goal Aleksandar Mitrovic 27'
  • goal Sergej Milinkovic-Savic 42'
  • goal Salem Al-Dawsari 57'

Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 14, 2024 7.00pm
Al Hazem 0 - 3 Al Shabab
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 7.00pm
Al-Hilal 2 - 1 Damac
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Aleksandar Mitrovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 73.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Shabab had a probability of 10.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-3 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for an Al Shabab win it was 2-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result

Al Shabab 10.75% (-0.03)
Draw 15.32% (+0.09)
Al-Hilal 73.92% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.78% (-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.86% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 31.14% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 47.44% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 52.55% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 28.43% (-0.55)
Under 4.5 71.57% (+0.54)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 60.1% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 39.89% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 23.44% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 76.56% (+0.38)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5 92.81% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 7.19% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 73.89% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 26.11% (+0.35)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 10.75%
Draw 15.32%
Al-Hilal 73.92%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 2.64% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 10.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.94% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.87% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 15.32%
Al-Hilal
0-2 @ 9.94% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 9.13% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 8.72% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 8.02% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.55% (+0.17)
0-4 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.68% (-0.06)
0-5 @ 3.02% (-0.02)
1-5 @ 2.78% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.06)
0-6 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.28% (-0.04)
1-6 @ 1.22% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 73.92%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
  • Ali Albulayhi 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 68' goal
  • Aleksandar Mitrovic 76' goal
  • yellowcard Fahad Al-Muwallad 87'